逆势向上!中国外贸增速逐季加快

所属分类 发布日期:2025-10-14

顶住压力,逆势向上!

10月13日,海关总署新鲜出炉的外贸三季报显示,2025年前三季度,我国货物贸易进出口33.61万亿元,同比增长4%,比前8个月加快0.5个百分点。

“成绩来之不易”。海关总署副署长王军在当天国新办举行的新闻发布会上说,总的看,前三季度,各地各部门攻坚克难、努力拼搏,广大外贸企业积极应变、开拓创新,我国外贸韧性彰显、结构优化,实现了量质齐升。

着眼细分数据,外贸“稳中向好”的“面貌”更加清晰,抗压抗逆能力进一步显现。

从季度看,增速逐季加快。从一、二季度分别增长1.3%、4.5%,到三季度增长6%,我国进出口已连续8个季度实现同比增长。与此同时,三个季度进出口规模均在10万亿元以上,保持了历史较高水平。从月度看,9月当月进出口4.04万亿元,同比增长8%,增速创年内单月新高,出口、进口则连续4个月同比双增长。

从出口端看,我国出口有效应对多方面压力和挑战,保持良好增长态势,前三季度出口19.95万亿元,同比增速达到7.1%,连续8个季度保持增长;从进口端看,尽管同期进口13.66万亿元,同比下降0.2%,弱于出口,但降幅相比前8个月收窄1个百分点,表明随着提振消费专项行动持续发力,国内需求正在改善。

支撑外贸逆势向上,“密码”是什么?

透过“含新量”看,创新水平提升激发增长潜能。前三季度,我国出口高技术产品同比增长11.9%,对同期整体出口增长贡献率超三成,其中,工业机器人增长54.9%,风电出海跑出“加速度”。此外,品质不断升级的国潮花灯、盲盒公仔等国货潮品销往全球200多个国家和地区。

透过“主力军”看,民营企业奋力挑起“大梁”。截至今年三季度末,我国有进出口实绩的民营企业61.3万家,进出口19.16万亿元,同比增长7.8%,已连续22个季度同比增长。特别是今年以来,民营企业进出口增速持续领先,前三季度占我国外贸总值的比重达到了57%,较去年同期提升2个百分点,继续保持我国第一大外贸主体地位。

透过“朋友圈”看,积极拓展市场有效对冲风险。国际数据显示,今年前7个月,我国是全球166个国家和地区的前三大贸易伙伴,较去年同期增加了14个。此外,前三季度,我国对东盟、拉美、非洲、中亚等进出口分别增长9.6%、3.9%、19.5%和16.7%;同期,新增135种农食产品的准入,涉及50个国家和地区。

展望下一阶段,王军表示,也要看到,当前外部环境依然严峻复杂,外贸面临的不确定性和困难增多,叠加去年基数较高等客观因素,四季度稳定外贸发展仍需付出艰苦努力。

“我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大,长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有变,超大规模市场和完整产业体系的优势突出,进出口保持韧性和活力,这些都将为下一阶段外贸稳定发展提供支撑。”王军说。

译文:

Go against the tide! China's foreign trade growth rate accelerates quarter by quarter


Counter the pressure and move forward against the trend!

On October 13th, the newly released third quarter foreign trade report by the General Administration of Customs showed that in the first three quarters of 2025, China's import and export of goods reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, which was 0.5 percentage points faster than the previous eight months.

The achievements are hard won. At a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the same day, Wang Jun, Deputy Director General of the General Administration of Customs, said that overall, in the first three quarters, various regions and departments have overcome difficulties and worked hard, and foreign trade enterprises have actively responded, explored and innovated. China's foreign trade resilience has been demonstrated, the structure has been optimized, and both quantity and quality have been improved.

Focusing on segmented data, the "stable and positive" appearance of foreign trade is clearer, and its ability to withstand pressure and adversity is further demonstrated.

From a quarterly perspective, the growth rate is accelerating quarter by quarter. From a growth of 1.3% and 4.5% in the first and second quarters respectively, to a growth of 6% in the third quarter, China's imports and exports have achieved year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters. At the same time, the import and export scale for the three quarters remained above 10 trillion yuan, maintaining a historically high level. From a monthly perspective, the import and export volume in September was 4.04 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8%, reaching a new high for a single month this year. Both exports and imports continued to grow year-on-year for four consecutive months.

From the perspective of exports, China's exports have effectively responded to various pressures and challenges, maintaining a good growth trend. In the first three quarters, exports reached 1.995 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.1%, maintaining growth for eight consecutive quarters; From the perspective of imports, although imports amounted to 13.66 trillion yuan during the same period, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2%, weaker than exports, the decline narrowed by 1 percentage point compared to the previous 8 months, indicating that domestic demand is improving with the continuous efforts of the special action to boost consumption.

What is the 'password' to support foreign trade against the trend?

Through the perspective of 'innovation content', the improvement of innovation level stimulates growth potential. In the first three quarters, China's exports of high-tech products increased by 11.9% year-on-year, contributing more than 30% to the overall export growth during the same period. Among them, industrial robots increased by 54.9%, and wind power went global at an accelerated pace. In addition, China-Chic lanterns, blind box dolls and other domestic fashion products with continuously upgraded quality are sold to more than 200 countries and regions around the world.

From the perspective of the 'main force', private enterprises are vigorously shouldering the 'main beam'. As of the end of the third quarter of this year, there were 613000 private enterprises in China with import and export performance, with an import and export volume of 1.916 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, and a year-on-year increase for 22 consecutive quarters. Especially since the beginning of this year, the growth rate of imports and exports of private enterprises has continued to lead, accounting for 57% of China's total foreign trade value in the first three quarters, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the same period last year, continuing to maintain its position as the largest foreign trade entity in China.

Through the "friend circle", actively expand the market and effectively hedge risks. International data shows that in the first seven months of this year, China was among the top three trading partners of 166 countries and regions worldwide, an increase of 14 compared to the same period last year. In addition, in the first three quarters, China's imports and exports to ASEAN, Latin America, Africa, Central Asia, and other regions increased by 9.6%, 3.9%, 19.5%, and 16.7% respectively; During the same period, 135 new agricultural and food products were granted access, involving 50 countries and regions.

Looking ahead to the next stage, Wang Jun said that it should also be noted that the current external environment is still severe and complex, and foreign trade is facing increasing uncertainty and difficulties. Coupled with objective factors such as last year's high base, stable foreign trade development in the fourth quarter still requires arduous efforts.

Our country's economic foundation is stable, with many advantages, strong resilience, and great potential. The supporting conditions and basic trends for long-term improvement have not changed. The advantages of a super large market and a complete industrial system are prominent, and imports and exports maintain resilience and vitality. All of these will provide support for the stable development of foreign trade in the next stage, "said Wang Jun.